Despite strong long-term returns and improving capital allocation, global investors remain underweight to Japan. Portfolio Managers Shuntaro Takeuchi and Donghoon Han share their views on why Japan’s equity market offers compelling opportunities for active investors—through deep research, rising shareholder returns, and access to undercovered companies.
- So why Japan? Japan equities, it has a potential to
offer good total returns through earnings, dividends and buybacks over the
course of mid to long term. Over the past 15 years, Japan equities as an asset class has already provided double
digit annual returns, which is one of the best
non-US asset classes. We believe there is a
meaningful perception gap amongst global investors because Japan is a country
with this anemic GDP growth. And that perception gap is leading to a lot of global investors still sticking to a massive underweight versus the benchmark index, and this is another thing that we believe and we're constructive on
the asset class itself. For total return opportunities
for Japanese equities come from, one, net profits, which basically comes from global growth and also in the need of domestic labor
productivity enhancement. And on top of that, especially
over the past few years, and most likely going forward, a increase in total return
potential through dividends and buybacks will be an
additional growth opportunity. And also a idiosyncratic, very
unique one to that of Japan as many of the Japanese
corporates balance sheet are, I would say, having too much cash and has a lot of opportunities and potential for improving its
capital allocation policies. - We highlight three reasons
to go active in Japan. First and foremost, Japan
is under-researched market. If you look at index like TOPIX, which consists 2000 companies, half the companies are actually
not covered by analysts. 20% of it is only covered
by one or two analysts. This creates significant
opportunity for bottoms up research and it benefits long-term
capital providers like Matthews Japan. Second of all, Japan's
index is diversified. Japan's index, if you look
at top five concentration of our market-cap
companies, it's only 15%. This is lowest among Asian-pure indexes. It's actually lower then global indexes. Let's take example of US. If you look at Magnificent 7, it's actually 50% plus of NASDAQ and more than 1/3 of S&P. Diversified is not necessarily bad, but it starts to mirror macro factors, not the idiosyncratic factors that Japanese companies are experiencing. We think concentrated active
approach is the best way to take a long-term alpha
generation in Japan. Lastly, volatility. Japan's is underweight by many of the international investors and sometimes it creates
significant volatility induced by foreign currency movements and also internal value
to growth rotations. However, we think this
is blessing in disguise. We take advantage of that downside because some of the quality
franchise value could go down more than average companies. We think these are the best
time to scoop up best companies at a lower value. - Our investment philosophy
is to provide core growth, all-sector, all-cap solutions to our clients, not
relying on certain styles or momentum factors. In order to achieve this, doing on-the-ground research and making our investment
based on firsthand information is essential to our process. What makes us unique, in
our view, are three things. First, we do on-the-ground
research in Japan, and we are research analysts sometimes before even portfolio managers. Every single investment
that we do in our portfolio, either one of us is responsible for meeting the company
on a quarterly basis and constantly update what's happening in the storefront. Secondly, our on-the-ground
research does not end in doing research in Japan. Half of the corporate
earnings come from overseas, meaning outside of Japan. So even year-to-date, we
have been doing research for Japanese corporates, visiting them in their US headquarters in Texas and Louisiana. We also work very closely
with our colleagues that manage the country
funds like the China funds, the India funds and
Korea funds and the Asia and regional funds, and
to do and gain insights and cowork in terms of
our investment decisions in the Japanese equity side. Thirdly, we do believe that we have a unique
access to the top management of Japanese corporates. Most if not all of the top 50
C-level management in Japan actually come to the
United States once a year and spend a day in San Francisco. We are fortunate enough to actually have a
face-to-face one-on-one meeting in San Francisco, and oftentimes, this is a unique opportunity that we do not get in Tokyo. So actually being based
here in San Francisco, these things that we believe are unique to our investment process.