Why inclusive cities are essential for economic resilience

In today's interconnected world, cities stand as the cornerstone of global economic growth, generating over 60% of global GDP. As the World Economic Forum’s May 2025 Chief Economists Outlook signals rising economic volatility, cities face a critical question: how can they build resilience in an era of ongoing disruption?

One answer lies in a powerful, but often overlooked driver of economic resilience: inclusion.

Recent data from the Open for Business City Ratings, covering 149 cities across three continents, shows that inclusion isn't just a social good, it's a competitive advantage.

Inclusive cities consistently outperform in human capital, innovation and entrepreneurship.

• Human capital drives competitive edge: Cities ranking in the top quartile for LGBTQ+ inclusion demonstrate human capital performance four times stronger than the bottom quartile. They excel in quality of living, university student attraction, educational attainment and concentration of top-tier institutions.

• Innovation and entrepreneurship thrive in inclusive environments: Inclusive cities score two times higher on innovation metrics and 2.5 times higher on entrepreneurship, creating dynamic ecosystems where diverse perspectives fuel breakthrough thinking and business formation.

• Inclusion as a workforce strategy: With 170 million new jobs expected by 2030, alongside the disruption of 22% of current roles and the evolution of 39% of key skills, cities that embrace LGBTQ+ inclusion are better positioned to attract and retain the diverse talent needed to navigate transformation.

To safeguard these benefits, leaders need to anticipate new dynamics affecting underrepresented groups.

AI is reshaping the economic landscape and risks creating new divergence in labour market outcomes. While women, for example, are underrepresented across STEM roles, representation drops further in STEM leadership, a pattern that risks being exacerbated by the advent of GenAI. The 'drop-to-the-top' for women in STEM roles is steep, starting with just under 30% representation in entry-level STEM jobs, which shrinks to 12% in the C-suite, suggesting much female talent is lost along the pipeline. The rapid adoption of GenAI is reinforcing existing role segregation: currently, 33.7% of women are in jobs that are being disrupted, while 25.5% of men are. At the same time, only 20.5% of women are in jobs that are being augmented, while this figure is 24.1% for men.

Exclusion of and bias against LGBTQI individuals compound economic losses resulting from an AI transformation that draws on only part of the talent pool.

This insight becomes particularly relevant as cities grapple with AI's dual nature, promising significant GDP growth while potentially displacing jobs or downgrading social status. In this context, maximizing human potential becomes critical.

The Open for Business City Ratings 2025 data reveals a mutually reinforcing dynamic: inclusive cities attract diverse talent and foster innovation, enhancing economic performance. This improved standing enables further investments in inclusive policies, creating a positive feedback loop that compounds competitive advantages over time.

However, this virtuous spiral risks creating divergences. As inclusive cities outperform economically, less inclusive areas may experience relative decline, potentially making inclusion even more difficult to achieve. The gap between inclusive and non-inclusive urban areas threatens to become self-reinforcing, with economic success concentrating in cities that embrace diversity.

This divergence can carry particular risks during periods of structural change. The LGBTQ+ community, having made recent progress towards equality, could for example become a target when others feel threatened by change. As Donovan warns, this dynamic could make inclusion more difficult precisely when it's most economically beneficial.

With 17% of Gen Z adults identifying as LGBTQ+, cities ignoring inclusion risk losing entire generational cohorts of workers, consumers and innovators. Recent surveys show job seekers increasingly choose organizations where they can be authentic, while younger professionals view LGBTQ+ inclusion as an indicator of broader social values and quality of life.

For urban leaders navigating economic uncertainty and technological disruption, the path forward requires integrating inclusion as a core economic development strategy. This means moving beyond viewing diversity as a social objective to recognizing it as a strategic economic driver essential for long-term prosperity.

As our economies face unprecedented challenges, from trade tensions and technological displacement to skills shortages and competitive pressures, cities cannot afford to waste human potential. The data is clear: inclusive cities don't just build better societies; they build more resilient, innovative and prosperous economies.