Fixing KDE evaluate() to return correct ValueAndMagnitude object#128602
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davidkyle merged 12 commits intoelastic:mainfrom Nov 14, 2025
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Fixing KDE evaluate() to return correct ValueAndMagnitude object#128602davidkyle merged 12 commits intoelastic:mainfrom
davidkyle merged 12 commits intoelastic:mainfrom
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…ct for bandwidth = 0 Prior to this change, the evaluate method would return a dummy object for an input with bandwidth = 0. This would occur if the dataset had zero variance (see KDE constructor). This would then cause ChangePointDetector to fail to detect a spike on a dataset containing all equal numbers except for one spike. This change removes the bandwidth = 0 condition for returning a dummy ValueAndMagnitude object. Statistical testing in ChangePointDetector now properly detects the spike in the example mentioned above. Unit tests are added to confirm the bug is fixed.
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Thanks for your contribution @Jason-Whitmore and thanks for adding the tests, we will try to review this as soon as possible |
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I propose a small tweak.
x-pack/plugin/ml/src/main/java/org/elasticsearch/xpack/ml/aggs/changepoint/KDE.java
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This change enables an early return and avoids numerical issues.
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* main: (135 commits)
Mute org.elasticsearch.upgrades.IndexSortUpgradeIT testIndexSortForNumericTypes {upgradedNodes=1} elastic#138130
Mute org.elasticsearch.upgrades.IndexSortUpgradeIT testIndexSortForNumericTypes {upgradedNodes=2} elastic#138129
Mute org.elasticsearch.search.basic.SearchWithRandomDisconnectsIT testSearchWithRandomDisconnects elastic#138128
[DiskBBQ] avoid EsAcceptDocs bug by calling cost before building iterator (elastic#138127)
Log NOT_PREFERRED shard movements (elastic#138069)
Improve bulk loading of binary doc values (elastic#137995)
Add internal action for getting inference fields and inference results for those fields (elastic#137680)
Address issue with DateFieldMapper#isFieldWithinQuery(...) (elastic#138032)
WriteLoadConstraintDecider: Have separate rate limiting for canRemain and canAllocate decisions (elastic#138067)
Adding NodeContext to TransportBroadcastByNodeAction (elastic#138057)
Mute org.elasticsearch.simdvec.ESVectorUtilTests testSoarDistanceBulk elastic#138117
Mute org.elasticsearch.xpack.esql.qa.single_node.GenerativeIT test elastic#137909
Backport batched_response_might_include_reduction_failure version to 8.19 (elastic#138046)
Add summary metrics for tdigest fields (elastic#137982)
Add gp-llm-v2 model ID and inference endpoint (elastic#138045)
Various tracing fixes (elastic#137908)
[ML] Fixing KDE evaluate() to return correct ValueAndMagnitude object (elastic#128602)
Mute org.elasticsearch.xpack.shutdown.NodeShutdownIT testStalledShardMigrationProperlyDetected elastic#115697
[ML] Fix Flaky Audit Message Assertion in testWithDatastream for RegressionIT and ClassificationIT (elastic#138065)
[ML] Fix Non-Deterministic Training Set Selection in RegressionIT testTwoJobsWithSameRandomizeSeedUseSameTrainingSet (elastic#138063)
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# Conflicts:
# rest-api-spec/src/yamlRestTest/resources/rest-api-spec/test/search.vectors/200_dense_vector_docvalue_fields.yml
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Issue #127517 describes
ChangePointDetector.getChangeType()failing to detect a spike when all non spike values are constant (for example, the input [51,51,...,51,50001,51...,51]).Prior to this change, the
KDE.evaluate()method would return a special object for an input withbandwidth == 0. This would occur if the values excluding the spike had zero variance (seeKDEconstructor). This would then causeChangePointDetector.getChangeType()andSpikeAndDipDetector.detect()to use the wrong p-value and fail to detect the spike.This change removes the
bandwidth == 0condition for returning a specialValueAndMagnitudeobject. Statistical testing inChangePointDetector.getChangeType()andSpikeAndDipDetector.detect()now properly detect the spike in the example mentioned above.Unit tests are added to confirm the bug is fixed.
Closes #127517