This, from CFTC @ChairmanSelig, is the best explanation you'll ever hear on the difference between derivative contracts (which prediction markets offer) and casino wagers (which sportsbooks offer).
It's night and day.
Former CFTC Commissioner @BrianQuintenz says the fight over prediction markets is headed for the Supreme Court.
He says the Ninth Circuit created “more confusion than clarity” — including ruling that whether the Super Bowl happens is an event, but who wins it is not.
Meet the new faces of risk management: a goat herder hedging a $500K labor-law hit and an ice cream shop owner covering the cold days.
Prediction markets are giving small businesses the tools Wall Street's always had, federally regulated by the CFTC.
.@luanalopeslara on one huge difference between prediction markets and sportsbooks:
Sportsbooks profit when their customers lose.
Prediction markets bring buyers and sellers together — and make money on the transaction, not the outcome.
This is a perfect example of why it's so important to have secure, federally-regulated, American prediction markets. Sketchy offshore books have no reason to punish insider trading. This is a W for Kalshi and a W for the CFTC.
NEW: Kalshi says @lauriebuckhout, the Republican nominee in #NC01, improperly traded on her own campaign, violating platform rules, and is being fined $2,500 and suspended for 3 years. (This is a Dem-held seat that is now 'lean GOP' after redistricting.)